liveenergywindow 2026-09-25 → 2026-10-02

Will US total gasoline stocks for the week ending Oct 02, 2026 come in below the prior week?

Resolution contractlocked 2026-09-28 ▪ first print rule on

EIA WGTSTUS1 (petroleum/stoc/wstk) serisinde 2026-10-02 değeri 2026-09-25 değerinden KÜÇÜKSE EVET; eşit/büyükse HAYIR. Çözümleme anındaki API değerleri esastır.

edge cases · Eşitlik = HAYIR. Mevsimsellik trivial-yön nöbetine tabidir. Tatil kayması: penceredeki ilk/son gözlem; 2 gözlem yoksa iptal.

source · EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report (Çarşamba 10:30 ET); seri WGTSTUS1

Forecast record

sealed rows are abstentions; the gate withheld the probability

At	Verdict	P(yes)	Evidence hash	Row hash
queued for the next research and forecast cycle

Evidence ledger

admitted evidence only; quarantined items never reach the forecaster

no admitted evidence yet