← terminal
backtestglobal macrowindow 2026-04-01 → 2026-04-30
[BACKTEST] Did the US FOMC change the upper target in the March 2026 window?
Resolution contractlocked 2026-07-07 ▪ first print rule on
DFEDTARU serisinin 1-31 Mart 2026 penceresi başı ve sonu farklıysa EVET.
edge cases · Pencere içi çoklu değişim hakem ister.
source · FRED DFEDTARU
ResolvedNOvia fred · 2026-07-07Brier 0.490
Forecast record
sealed rows are abstentions; the gate withheld the probability| At | Verdict | P(yes) | Evidence hash | Row hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 12:13 | CONSTRAINED | 70.0% | cc1d2f838445 | da5866bffa91 |
Evidence ledger
admitted evidence only; quarantined items never reach the forecaster- no admitted evidence yet